NHL Draft Value Charts

Rich Graessle/Icon SMI

Rich Graessle/Icon SMI

From Matt Pfeffer’s work.

42-year average (Goals Value Threshold from the 1970-2011 drafts)

Screen shot 2014-06-23 at 3.28.53 AM

Pick Total GVT Average GVT 42-yr GVT Value
1 5373 127.9 76.7
2 4070 96.9 66.8
3 2850 67.9 61.0
4 3309 78.8 56.8
5 2542 60.5 53.6
6 2318 55.2 51.0
7 1908 45.4 48.8
8 2078 49.5 46.9
9 1640 39.0 45.2
10 1086 25.9 43.7
11 1756 41.8 42.3
12 1394 33.2 41.1
13 1415 33.7 39.9
14 1560 37.1 38.9
15 1765 42.0 37.9
16 906 21.6 36.9
17 1074 25.6 36.1
18 804 19.1 35.2
19 874 20.8 34.5
20 1276 30.4 33.7
21 1100 26.2 33.0
22 1384 33.0 32.4
23 775 18.5 31.7
24 872 20.8 31.1
25 918 21.9 30.5
26 467 11.1 30.0
27 1206 28.7 29.4
28 566 13.5 28.9
29 635 15.1 28.4
30 601 14.3 27.9
31 222 5.3 27.4
32 640 15.2 27.0
33 718 17.1 26.6
34 306 7.3 26.1
35 499 11.9 25.7
36 775 18.5 25.3
37 193 4.6 24.9
38 547 13.0 24.5
39 349 8.3 24.2
40 1253 29.8 23.8
41 292 7.0 23.4
42 392 9.3 23.1
43 444 10.6 22.8
44 851 20.3 22.4
45 407 9.7 22.1
46 369 8.8 21.8
47 419 10.0 21.5
48 569 13.5 21.2
49 368 8.8 20.9
50 220 5.2 20.6
51 840 20.0 20.3
52 150 3.6 20.0
53 521 12.4 19.8
54 347 8.3 19.5
55 304 7.2 19.2
56 327 7.8 19.0
57 440 10.5 18.7
58 236 5.6 18.5
59 696 16.6 18.2
60 298 7.1 18.0
61 285 6.8 17.7
62 412 9.8 17.5
63 222 5.3 17.3
64 330 7.9 17.0
65 127 3.0 16.8
66 288 6.9 16.6
67 487 11.6 16.4
68 291 6.9 16.2
69 574 13.7 16.0
70 522 12.4 15.8
71 411 9.8 15.6
72 554 13.2 15.4
73 350 8.3 15.2
74 556 13.2 15.0
75 56.9 1.4 14.8
76 371 8.8 14.6
77 383 9.1 14.4
78 156 3.7 14.2
79 222 5.3 14.0
80 194 4.6 13.8
81 353 8.4 13.7
82 271 6.5 13.5
83 291 6.9 13.3
84 71.5 1.7 13.1
85 507 12.1 13.0
86 180 4.3 12.8
87 361 8.6 12.6
88 403 9.6 12.5
89 463 11.0 12.3
90 226 5.4 12.2
91 293 7.0 12.0
92 28.4 0.7 11.8
93 98 2.3 11.7
94 102 2.4 11.5
95 289 6.9 11.4
96 191 4.5 11.2
97 185 4.4 11.1
98 131 3.1 10.9
99 209 5.0 10.8
100 161 3.8 10.6
101 284 6.8 10.5
102 48.3 1.2 10.4
103 244 5.8 10.2
104 94 2.2 10.1
105 200 4.8 9.9
106 305 7.3 9.8
107 102 2.4 9.7
108 319 7.6 9.5
109 114 2.7 9.4
110 140 3.3 9.3
111 165 3.9 9.1
112 93 2.2 9.0
113 254 6.0 8.9
114 90.7 2.2 8.8
115 80.3 1.9 8.6
116 236 5.6 8.5
117 541 12.9 8.4
118 214 5.1 8.3
119 331 7.9 8.1
120 556 13.2 8.0
121 197 4.7 7.9
122 112 2.7 7.8
123 228 5.4 7.7
124 244 5.8 7.6
125 18.3 0.4 7.4
126 14.3 0.3 7.3
127 103 2.5 7.2
128 207 4.9 7.1
129 325 7.7 7.0
130 133 3.2 6.9
131 28.4 0.7 6.8
132 239 5.7 6.7
133 480 11.4 6.6
134 408 9.7 6.4
135 196 4.7 6.3
136 127 3.0 6.2
137 51.8 1.2 6.1
138 180 4.3 6.0
139 17.4 0.4 5.9
140 61.3 1.5 5.8
141 132 3.1 5.7
142 16.9 0.4 5.6
143 4.3 0.1 5.5
144 168 4.0 5.4
145 186 4.4 5.3
146 12.7 0.3 5.2
147 13.4 0.3 5.1
148 111 2.6 5.0
149 60.7 1.4 4.9
150 72.5 1.7 4.8
151 126 3.0 4.7
152 137 3.3 4.6
153 69.9 1.7 4.5
154 69.5 1.7 4.4
155 23.8 0.6 4.4
156 470 11.2 4.3
157 129 3.1 4.2
158 115 2.7 4.1
159 223 5.3 4.0
160 189 4.5 3.9
161 183 4.4 3.8
162 166 4.0 3.7
163 68.4 1.6 3.6
164 198 4.7 3.5
165 1.6 0.0 3.5
166 369 8.8 3.4
167 135 3.2 3.3
168 70.4 1.7 3.2
169 3.7 0.1 3.1
170 27.1 0.6 3.0
171 599 14.3 2.9
172 66.2 1.6 2.9
173 116 2.8 2.8
174 150 3.6 2.7
175 134 3.2 2.6
176 98.7 2.4 2.5
177 168 4.0 2.5
178 17 0.4 2.4
179 220 5.2 2.3
180 245 5.8 2.2
181 75.4 1.8 2.1
182 18.9 0.5 2.1
183 233 5.5 2.0
184 5.2 0.1 1.9
185 0 0.0 1.8
186 91.6 2.2 1.7
187 7.6 0.2 1.7
188 87.5 2.1 1.6
189 2.3 0.1 1.5
190 13 0.3 1.4
191 263 6.3 1.4
192 159 3.8 1.3
193 72.7 1.7 1.2
194 35.6 0.8 1.1
195 31.5 0.8 1.1
196 53.9 1.3 1.0
197 59.6 1.4 0.9
198 154 3.7 0.8
199 491 11.7 0.8
200 38.8 0.9 0.7
201 14.4 0.3 0.6
202 123 2.9 0.6
203 48.4 1.2 0.5
204 264 6.3 0.4
205 372 8.9 0.3
206 18.1 0.4 0.3
207 95.5 2.3 0.2
208 173 4.1 0.1
209 4.9 0.1 0.1
210 367 8.7 0.0

12-year average (Goals Value Threshold from the 2000-2011 drafts)

Screen shot 2014-06-23 at 3.29.25 AM

Pick Total GVT Average GVT 12-yr GVT Value
1 1017.9 84.8 40.1
2 744.5 62.0 34.9
3 343.4 28.6 31.9
4 366.9 30.6 29.7
5 384.3 32.0 28.1
6 262.1 21.8 26.7
7 258.2 21.5 25.5
8 190.2 15.9 24.5
9 209 17.4 23.6
10 82.5 6.9 22.9
11 275.6 23.0 22.1
12 213.7 17.8 21.5
13 333.4 27.8 20.9
14 220.5 18.4 20.3
15 77.4 6.5 19.8
16 59.4 5.0 19.3
17 192.8 16.1 18.9
18 83.8 7.0 18.4
19 147.6 12.3 18.0
20 186.8 15.6 17.6
21 204.8 17.1 17.3
22 140.5 11.7 16.9
23 192.3 16.0 16.6
24 216 18.0 16.3
25 130 10.8 16.0
26 123.8 10.3 15.7
27 77.4 6.5 15.4
28 159.2 13.3 15.1
29 128.4 10.7 14.9
30 22.9 1.9 14.6
31 2 0.2 14.4
32 134.2 11.2 14.1
33 145.9 12.2 13.9
34 7.7 0.6 13.7
35 52.4 4.4 13.4
36 67.5 5.6 13.2
37 29.3 2.4 13.0
38 38.6 3.2 12.8
39 13.4 1.1 12.6
40 57.2 4.8 12.4
41 22 1.8 12.3
42 14.3 1.2 12.1
43 89.3 7.4 11.9
44 127 10.6 11.7
45 113.2 9.4 11.6
46 23.6 2.0 11.4
47 37.2 3.1 11.2
48 0 0.0 11.1
49 97 8.1 10.9
50 45.9 3.8 10.8
51 67.6 5.6 10.6
52 30.3 2.5 10.5
53 42.6 3.6 10.3
54 123.4 10.3 10.2
55 116.2 9.7 10.1
56 27.5 2.3 9.9
57 66.2 5.5 9.8
58 57.7 4.8 9.7
59 1.4 0.1 9.5
60 42.7 3.6 9.4
61 100 8.3 9.3
62 113.9 9.5 9.2
63 114.5 9.5 9.0
64 71.9 6.0 8.9
65 5.3 0.4 8.8
66 14.7 1.2 8.7
67 37.7 3.1 8.6
68 1 0.1 8.5
69 40.6 3.4 8.4
70 13.4 1.1 8.2
71 139.7 11.6 8.1
72 82.9 6.9 8.0
73 89.7 7.5 7.9
74 32.3 2.7 7.8
75 4.9 0.4 7.7
76 0 0.0 7.6
77 5.1 0.4 7.5
78 2 0.2 7.4
79 50.9 4.2 7.3
80 0 0.0 7.2
81 21.6 1.8 7.1
82 27.3 2.3 7.1
83 0 0.0 7.0
84 44.2 3.7 6.9
85 35.7 3.0 6.8
86 0.2 0.0 6.7
87 60.7 5.1 6.6
88 3.2 0.3 6.5
89 0.9 0.1 6.4
90 39.7 3.3 6.4
91 50.5 4.2 6.3
92 9.2 0.8 6.2
93 30.1 2.5 6.1
94 12.6 1.1 6.0
95 143.3 11.9 6.0
96 11.6 1.0 5.9
97 73.5 6.1 5.8
98 19.6 1.6 5.7
99 82.5 6.9 5.6
100 1.8 0.2 5.6
101 132.1 11.0 5.5
102 13.9 1.2 5.4
103 21.1 1.8 5.3
104 7.6 0.6 5.3
105 53.4 4.5 5.2
106 122.9 10.2 5.1
107 5.8 0.5 5.1
108 22.3 1.9 5.0
109 5.2 0.4 4.9
110 0 0.0 4.9
111 15.6 1.3 4.8
112 2.9 0.2 4.7
113 0 0.0 4.7
114 4.5 0.4 4.6
115 0 0.0 4.5
116 8.6 0.7 4.5
117 11.8 1.0 4.4
118 0 0.0 4.3
119 3.8 0.3 4.3
120 6.8 0.6 4.2
121 1.8 0.2 4.1
122 4.8 0.4 4.1
123 3.1 0.3 4.0
124 0.6 0.1 4.0
125 5.9 0.5 3.9
126 12.3 1.0 3.8
127 71.9 6.0 3.8
128 0.3 0.0 3.7
129 77.8 6.5 3.7
130 0 0.0 3.6
131 0.4 0.0 3.5
132 47.3 3.9 3.5
133 8.5 0.7 3.4
134 74.1 6.2 3.4
135 1.3 0.1 3.3
136 12.6 1.1 3.3
137 2.8 0.2 3.2
138 0.3 0.0 3.2
139 6.9 0.6 3.1
140 8 0.7 3.0
141 8.3 0.7 3.0
142 13.7 1.1 2.9
143 0 0.0 2.9
144 0 0.0 2.8
145 0.4 0.0 2.8
146 3.1 0.3 2.7
147 8 0.7 2.7
148 50.7 4.2 2.6
149 23.5 2.0 2.6
150 39.5 3.3 2.5
151 57 4.8 2.5
152 0.2 0.0 2.4
153 0 0.0 2.4
154 4.4 0.4 2.3
155 15.8 1.3 2.3
156 57.5 4.8 2.2
157 7.2 0.6 2.2
158 14.3 1.2 2.1
159 0 0.0 2.1
160 19.3 1.6 2.0
161 70.4 5.9 2.0
162 16.1 1.3 1.9
163 9.6 0.8 1.9
164 0.8 0.1 1.9
165 0 0.0 1.8
166 0 0.0 1.8
167 0.3 0.0 1.7
168 34 2.8 1.7
169 0 0.0 1.6
170 0 0.0 1.6
171 6.2 0.5 1.5
172 47.2 3.9 1.5
173 12.2 1.0 1.5
174 7 0.6 1.4
175 53.3 4.4 1.4
176 73.3 6.1 1.3
177 14.8 1.2 1.3
178 2.2 0.2 1.2
179 8.4 0.7 1.2
180 22.5 1.9 1.2
181 0.3 0.0 1.1
182 7.3 0.6 1.1
183 32.2 2.7 1.0
184 4.2 0.4 1.0
185 0 0.0 1.0
186 31 2.6 0.9
187 0.1 0.0 0.9
188 1 0.1 0.8
189 2.3 0.2 0.8
190 10.1 0.8 0.8
191 52.2 4.4 0.7
192 67.7 5.6 0.7
193 49.4 4.1 0.6
194 19.9 1.7 0.6
195 1.2 0.1 0.6
196 5.8 0.5 0.5
197 52.9 4.4 0.5
198 3.2 0.3 0.4
199 2 0.2 0.4
200 28.9 2.4 0.4
201 6.4 0.5 0.3
202 9 0.8 0.3
203 1.1 0.1 0.3
204 8.7 0.7 0.2
205 76 6.3 0.2
206 16.5 1.4 0.1
207 3.7 0.3 0.1
208 1.2 0.1 0.1
209 3.5 0.3 0.0
210 0 0.0 0.0

From Jibblescribbits’ work.

10-year average (1997-2006 draft)

Screen shot 2014-06-23 at 3.29.12 AM

Pick jibblescribbits player value projected player value
1 1.23 1.245
2 1.23 1.084
3 1.23 0.989
4 0.93 0.922
5 0.93 0.871
6 0.93 0.828
7 0.87 0.792
8 0.87 0.761
9 0.87 0.734
10 0.87 0.709
11 0.65 0.687
12 0.65 0.667
13 0.65 0.648
14 0.65 0.631
15 0.65 0.615
16 0.7 0.600
17 0.7 0.585
18 0.7 0.572
19 0.7 0.560
20 0.7 0.548
21 0.74 0.536
22 0.74 0.525
23 0.74 0.515
24 0.74 0.505
25 0.74 0.496
26 0.51 0.487
27 0.51 0.478
28 0.51 0.469
29 0.51 0.461
30 0.51 0.453
31 0.35 0.446
32 0.35 0.438
33 0.35 0.431
34 0.35 0.424
35 0.35 0.417
36 0.4 0.411
37 0.4 0.404
38 0.4 0.398
39 0.4 0.392
40 0.4 0.386
41 0.35 0.380
42 0.35 0.375
43 0.35 0.369
44 0.35 0.364
45 0.35 0.359
46 0.35 0.354
47 0.35 0.349
48 0.35 0.344
49 0.35 0.339
50 0.35 0.334
51 0.3 0.330
52 0.3 0.325
53 0.3 0.321
54 0.3 0.316
55 0.3 0.312
56 0.3 0.308
57 0.3 0.304
58 0.3 0.300
59 0.3 0.296
60 0.3 0.292
61 0.29 0.288
62 0.29 0.284
63 0.29 0.280
64 0.29 0.277
65 0.29 0.273
66 0.29 0.270
67 0.29 0.266
68 0.29 0.263
69 0.29 0.259
70 0.29 0.256
71 0.25 0.253
72 0.25 0.249
73 0.25 0.246
74 0.25 0.243
75 0.25 0.240
76 0.25 0.237
77 0.25 0.234
78 0.25 0.231
79 0.25 0.228
80 0.25 0.225
81 0.22 0.222
82 0.22 0.219
83 0.22 0.216
84 0.22 0.213
85 0.22 0.211
86 0.22 0.208
87 0.22 0.205
88 0.22 0.203
89 0.22 0.200
90 0.22 0.197
91 0.24 0.195
92 0.24 0.192
93 0.24 0.190
94 0.24 0.187
95 0.24 0.185
96 0.24 0.182
97 0.24 0.180
98 0.24 0.178
99 0.24 0.175
100 0.24 0.173
101 0.17 0.170
102 0.17 0.168
103 0.17 0.166
104 0.17 0.164
105 0.17 0.161
106 0.17 0.159
107 0.17 0.157
108 0.17 0.155
109 0.17 0.153
110 0.17 0.151
111 0.11 0.148
112 0.11 0.146
113 0.11 0.144
114 0.11 0.142
115 0.11 0.140
116 0.11 0.138
117 0.11 0.136
118 0.11 0.134
119 0.11 0.132
120 0.11 0.130
121 0.17 0.128
122 0.17 0.126
123 0.17 0.125
124 0.17 0.123
125 0.17 0.121
126 0.17 0.119
127 0.17 0.117
128 0.17 0.115
129 0.17 0.113
130 0.17 0.112
131 0.17 0.110
132 0.17 0.108
133 0.17 0.106
134 0.17 0.105
135 0.17 0.103
136 0.11 0.101
137 0.11 0.099
138 0.11 0.098
139 0.11 0.096
140 0.11 0.094
141 0.11 0.093
142 0.11 0.091
143 0.11 0.089
144 0.11 0.088
145 0.11 0.086
146 0.11 0.085
147 0.11 0.083
148 0.11 0.081
149 0.11 0.080
150 0.11 0.078
151 0.13 0.077
152 0.13 0.075
153 0.13 0.074
154 0.13 0.072
155 0.13 0.071
156 0.13 0.069
157 0.13 0.068
158 0.13 0.066
159 0.13 0.065
160 0.13 0.063
161 0.13 0.062
162 0.13 0.060
163 0.13 0.059
164 0.13 0.058
165 0.13 0.056
166 0.13 0.055
167 0.13 0.053
168 0.13 0.052
169 0.13 0.051
170 0.13 0.049
171 0.13 0.048
172 0.13 0.046
173 0.13 0.045
174 0.13 0.044
175 0.13 0.042
176 0.13 0.041
177 0.13 0.040
178 0.13 0.039
179 0.13 0.037
180 0.13 0.036
181 0.11 0.035
182 0.11 0.033
183 0.11 0.032
184 0.11 0.031
185 0.11 0.030
186 0.11 0.028
187 0.11 0.027
188 0.11 0.026
189 0.11 0.025
190 0.11 0.023
191 0.11 0.022
192 0.11 0.021
193 0.11 0.020
194 0.11 0.018
195 0.11 0.017
196 0.11 0.016
197 0.11 0.015
198 0.11 0.014
199 0.11 0.013
200 0.11 0.011
201 0.11 0.010
202 0.11 0.009
203 0.11 0.008
204 0.11 0.007
205 0.11 0.006
206 0.11 0.004
207 0.11 0.003
208 0.11 0.002
209 0.11 0.001
210 0.11 0.000

 

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